Analysis – New Crypto Times

MSTR Stock Price Rises Over 2% as Tom Lee Reaffirms Bitcoin’s Run Toward $100k

Alex Mercer — Sun, 30 Nov 2025 14:43:06 +0000

The MSTR stock price climbed more than 2% on Friday, tracking Bitcoin’s steady performance above $92,000 and upbeat market sentiment fuelled by bullish analyst forecasts, including a fresh call from FundStrat’s Tom Lee.

MicroStrategy shares closed at $180, pushing the company’s market capitalization to $50 billion. Despite the move, the stock remains far below its all-time high of $542.

Tom Lee Reaffirms Bullish Bitcoin Outlook

Several top crypto analysts continue to maintain an optimistic view on Bitcoin, even though the cryptocurrency is still trading below its all-time high of $126,200. Speaking to CNBC, Tom Lee reiterated his stance that Bitcoin is positioned to reach $100,000 by the end of the year—a move that would require less than a 10% gain from current levels.

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Looking further ahead, Lee said Bitcoin could reclaim its all-time high in 2026 and potentially rise to $200,000. He pointed to several macro factors supporting this long-term view, including expected Federal Reserve rate cuts and increasing institutional demand across global markets.

Technical Outlook for MicroStrategy

Technical indicators also suggest room for additional upside in MSTR stock. With Bitcoin stabilizing above key support zones and bullish long-term forecasts circulating among analysts, MicroStrategy continues to benefit from its strategy of holding large BTC reserves.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Robert Kiyosaki Sounds Crash Alarm – Is the Yen Unwind the Liquidity Event BTC Needs?

Alex Mercer — Sun, 30 Nov 2025 14:41:46 +0000

Bitcoin traded at around $91,400 on Sunday, gaining over 0.80% in the last 24 hours as traders balanced rising global liquidity risks against improving technical signals. With a market capitalization of $1.82 trillion and nearly 20 million BTC in circulation, the world’s largest cryptocurrency remains at the heart of the macroeconomic debate—especially after Robert Kiyosaki reignited fears of a looming financial reset.

Kiyosaki Flags Liquidity Shock

Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has once again warned of what he calls a potential global crash. His latest caution comes at a time when financial markets are dealing with what analysts describe as a “two-front liquidity squeeze”—a shift in Japan’s fiscal stance and tightening conditions in the US funding markets.

Kiyosaki has long positioned Bitcoin as protection against monetary fragility. But this time, the pressure on risk assets stems from something far more structural: capital is simply draining out of the system.

Yen Unwind Creates Global Pressure

Japan’s fiscal pivot—marked by heavier government spending and rising bond yields—has intensified the depreciation of the yen. The shift is now forcing investors to unwind years of yen-carry trades, where low-interest Japanese borrowing funded risk assets worldwide.

As these leveraged positions unwind, liquidity thins across global equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.

For Bitcoin, the impact cuts both ways.
• Short-term: liquidity stress can weigh on BTC price.
• Long-term: the unwind may steer investors toward decentralized assets as protection against fiscal instability.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Outlook Turns Constructive

Despite macro headwinds, Bitcoin’s technical structure is showing early signs of recovery. BTC has rebounded sharply from the $81,028 support, a level that has served as a higher-timeframe demand zone since mid-2024.

The daily chart reflects a strong bullish reaction, marked by long lower wicks followed by sustained buying.

Bitcoin is now approaching the 20-day EMA at $92,800, which flipped into resistance after the November breakdown. A confirmed close above this level would be Bitcoin’s first meaningful structural improvement in several weeks.

World Liberty Financial (WLFI) price stays flat as whales dump tokens, USD1 stablecoin momentum weakens

Alex Mercer — Sun, 30 Nov 2025 14:33:33 +0000

The World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token has traded sideways over the past few days, hovering around $0.1600 even as major holders continue selling and the growth of the USD1 stablecoin slows sharply. Despite this, the token’s technical structure suggests that a potential upside move is still possible.

WLFI is currently trading nearly 50% above its monthly low, but blockchain data points to clear weakness across the World Liberty Financial ecosystem.

According to Artemis, the circulating supply of USD1 stablecoins has dropped by 8.2% in the last 30 days to $2.7 billion. A large portion of this—over $2 billion—comes from MGX’s investment in Binance. At the same time, the number of USD1 holders has declined by 21% to 345,000, while adjusted transaction volume has fallen by almost 50%. The slowdown has been significantly sharper than other major stablecoins.

Whale and “smart money” behavior has also turned negative. Large holders have reduced their WLFI positions from 9.36 million (as of November 25) to 6.14 million today. Smart money wallets have trimmed their holdings from 855 million on November 9 to 800 million now. Such outflows are typically seen as bearish indicators in fundamental analysis.

However, there is one positive development: tokens held on exchanges have decreased from 3.2 billion last month to 2.7 billion, reducing immediate selling pressure.

Technical Outlook: Inverse Head & Shoulders Forms

On the eight-hour chart, WLFI has rebounded from its October low of $0.086 to the current $0.1600. The token has also formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a widely followed bullish reversal structure.

Additionally, WLFI has moved above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average, strengthening the case for short-term upside.

If bullish momentum continues, the next key resistance lies near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.2035.
A drop below $0.15 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the door to renewed selling pressure.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and readers should conduct their own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Tether Taking Bigger Risks Ahead of Fed Rate Cuts? Arthur Hayes Raises Alarm, Industry Pushes Back

Alex Mercer — Sun, 30 Nov 2025 14:27:12 +0000

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has sounded a fresh warning about Tether’s reserve strategy, arguing that the world’s largest stablecoin issuer is positioning itself for an upcoming Federal Reserve rate-cut cycle but at the cost of taking on greater risk.

Hayes Flags Rising Exposure to Bitcoin and Gold

According to Hayes, Tether’s latest attestation shows a strategic shift away from largely cash-based holdings toward Bitcoin and gold, a move he believes could weaken the company’s equity cushion in the event of a sharp market correction.

Tether currently holds about $181 billion in assets against $174 billion in liabilities, meaning it remains solvent on paper — but not entirely liquid. Hayes warned that a sudden drop in BTC or gold prices could compress Tether’s surplus and trigger panic around USDT’s backing, similar to concerns highlighted by S&P Global when it assigned Tether a “weak” stability rating.

Fractional Liquidity, Not Insolvency

Blockchain analyst BitImmortal broke down the numbers, noting that nearly $140 billion of Tether’s assets remain in cash and cash equivalents. The remaining $34 billion is spread across Bitcoin, gold, secured loans and other investments.

This structure, he said, resembles a fractional reserve model, where everything functions smoothly under normal conditions but could be stress-tested under heavy redemptions. Importantly, solvency is not in question — Tether’s assets still exceed its liabilities.

Crypto Market Pushes Back at Hayes’ Concerns

Not everyone agrees with Hayes’ assessment. Former Citi Research crypto lead Joseph argued that Tether’s disclosures reflect only its matched reserves, not the company’s entire corporate balance sheet.

Tether maintains a separate equity structure that includes:

corporate investments
mining operations
additional Bitcoin reserves

These do not appear in the reserve attestation but significantly strengthen the company’s financial position.

Tether’s Profit Engine Remains Massive

Joseph added that Tether is among the most profitable companies globally. With over $120 billion parked in U.S. Treasuries at ~4% yields and minimal operating expenses, the stablecoin giant is estimated to earn nearly $10 billion annually.

Tether itself dismissed S&P’s concerns, calling the rating framework outdated, and emphasized that its large, daily settlement flows prove the robustness of its reserves and operations.

The Debate Continues

The core disagreement is not about solvency — where Tether appears secure — but about liquidity speed, i.e., how fast its non-cash reserves could be converted during extreme market stress.

With the Fed inching closer to rate cuts and crypto markets heating up, Tether’s allocation strategy is now under sharper watch than ever.

BNB intraday analysis: 1-hour chart shows upward trend with early signs of cooling near $904

Brandon Kellworth — Fri, 28 Nov 2025 02:32:31 +0000

BNB traded around $890 on 28 November 2025, easing slightly after a strong multi-day climb that pushed the token as high as $904.86. A review of the last seven days on the 1-hour chart shows a shift from a prolonged consolidation phase to a clear upward trend, followed by the first signs that short-term momentum may be cooling.

BNB transitions from consolidation to steady upward trend

Between 22–24 November, BNB traded in a narrow range near $813–$840, forming a base with relatively low volatility. This consolidation phase was marked by sideways candles and compressed moving averages, indicating indecision but also preparing the ground for a breakout.

On 25 November, the structure shifted. Strong green candles accompanied by rising volume signalled the start of a clear upward trend, pushing the price above both the MA(7) and MA(25). From this point onward, BNB consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish intraday momentum.

Breakout on 27 November marks the strongest leg of the move

The most notable rally occurred on 27 November, when BNB surged sharply from the $865–$875 region to touch $904.86. This breakout candle displayed strong buyer participation, reflected in a pronounced volume spike. The price held above short-term moving averages throughout the push, highlighting sustained demand.

Short-term exhaustion signs appear after hitting $904

After reaching $904, BNB began to show signs of short-term cooling:

Candles tightened with smaller bodies.
MA(7) started flattening.
Price dipped back toward the $890 area.
Volume gradually reduced after the surge.

These signals indicate that while the broader intraday trend remains upward, the strongest portion of the move has paused, and buyers are no longer pushing aggressively at this stage.

1-hour moving averages still support a bullish structure

Even after the minor pullback:

Price remains above MA(25).
Price remains above MA(99).
Both moving averages continue to slope upward.

This alignment reflects a still-intact short-term uptrend, despite temporary consolidation under the $900–$905 region.

Current structure suggests a pause after a strong upward move

Based solely on visible chart data:

The trend of the last 7 days is upward.
BNB has strengthened significantly from $813 to $904.
A short-term consolidation is now forming between $888–$900.
Momentum has slowed but not reversed.
Moving averages maintain a bullish organisation.

BNB is therefore positioned in a zone where the trend is upward, but the market is cooling slightly after a strong breakout.

Disclaimer: This article provides neutral chart analysis for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment guidance or a prediction of future price movement.

Solana analysis: SOL at $141.50 as chart shows early recovery signs after steep decline to $121.66

Brandon Kellworth — Thu, 27 Nov 2025 15:32:58 +0000

Solana traded at $141.50 on 27 November 2025, extending its modest rebound after a sharp multi-week fall that pushed the asset to $121.66, its lowest level since mid-summer. The 1D chart covering the period from 17 July to 27 November 2025 illustrates a full cycle of strength, peak exhaustion, a sustained downturn and a recent attempt by buyers to stabilise the price.

Strong summer trend loses steam heading into October

SOL showed consistent upward momentum during August and the first half of September, repeatedly forming higher highs supported by rising buyer volume. This period marked a strong medium-term uptrend, driven by market participation and positive sentiment across major altcoins.
However, by late September, the chart began to demonstrate signs of fatigue. Attempts to push higher met repeated selling, and several long upper wicks indicated rejection at elevated levels. The flattening of the major moving averages signalled that the upward structure was weakening.

Clear downtrend emerges as moving averages flip bearish

From early October onwards, Solana entered a well-defined downtrend. The candles formed a sequence of:

Lower highs
Lower lows
Breakdowns below the MA(25) and later the MA(99)

The shift in the moving averages — with the short-term lines crossing below the mid- and long-term lines — confirmed a bearish phase. Increased selling volume throughout October and early November accelerated the decline, dragging SOL down to $121.66.

Bounce off $121.66 marks the first significant counter-move

After hitting the November low, SOL recorded a steady rebound, printing several green candles and forming short-term higher lows. This recovery suggests that bearish momentum has temporarily weakened. While the rebound remains moderate, it represents the first constructive upward movement in several weeks.

Major resistance zones remain overhead

Despite the ongoing bounce, the broader trend still leans bearish, with SOL trading beneath all key moving averages:

MA(7): ~$135.54
MA(25): ~$146.00
MA(99): ~$192.63

These levels act as strong overhead resistance zones that must be reclaimed for any major structural shift. The distance from the 99-day average highlights the extent of the recent downturn.

Volume behaviour reflects capitulation followed by cautious accumulation

Volume surged during the decline, reflecting forced selling and market exits. Over the past several sessions, volume has moderated and displayed a more balanced profile between buyers and sellers. This shift typically aligns with transitional periods where markets attempt to stabilise following a rapid fall.

Chart suggests a move from decline to possible base formation

Based solely on visible chart data:

The aggressive downtrend appears to have slowed considerably.
Price has rebounded from the $121–$142 region, hinting at early base-building efforts.
Short-term moving averages are flattening but still point downward.
Long-term average (MA99) remains far above the price, indicating broader weakness.

SOL is now positioned in a transitional phase where selling pressure has eased but recovery attempts remain constrained by overhead resistance.

Disclaimer: This article presents a neutral technical analysis based only on publicly visible chart data. It is not financial advice, investment guidance or a forecast of future price movement.

Ethereum analysis: ETH holds $3,001 as recovery attempts emerge after deep decline to $2,623

Brandon Kellworth — Thu, 27 Nov 2025 15:28:58 +0000

Ethereum traded near $3,001 on 27 November 2025, marking a modest rebound after a sharp multi-week drop that pushed the asset to a low of around $2,623 earlier in November. The 1D chart spanning 17 July to 27 November 2025 captures a full cycle of strength, exhaustion, sustained selling pressure and the first meaningful signs of stabilisation.

Strong August rally followed by a loss of momentum

ETH experienced a powerful upward stretch through August, with consistent green candles and rising volume pushing prices higher. The trend was supported by favourable short-term sentiment, and the asset maintained a position above key moving averages. By mid-September to early October, however, the bullish structure began to weaken as repeated upside attempts met increasing resistance. The changing slope of moving averages hinted at a transition toward fatigue.

Clear downtrend sets in as moving averages turn bearish

From mid-October onwards, Ethereum entered a well-defined downtrend characterised by:

Lower highs
Lower lows
Candles closing below both the 25-day and 99-day moving averages

The moving averages themselves rolled over into a downward trajectory, reinforcing the bearish structure. Selling volume picked up in early November, accelerating the decline and dragging ETH toward the $2,600–$2,700 zone — its weakest level in months.

Bounce from $2,623 marks first constructive recovery attempt

After weeks of sustained pressure, ETH printed its first significant rebound off the $2,623 low. The recent candles show higher lows forming, and a few green bars have appeared with moderately improved buying volume. While the rebound is not yet strong enough to challenge the dominant downtrend, it indicates that aggressive selling may have eased.

Major moving averages remain heavy overhead resistance

Despite the recent rise toward $3,000, Ethereum continues to trade under key resistance levels:

MA(7) near $2,897
MA(25) near $3,174
MA(99) around $3,983

These averages act as layered barriers that ETH would need to reclaim before any sustained structural improvement can form. Remaining below them keeps the larger trend in a cautionary zone.

Volume behaviour suggests early phase of stabilisation

Trading volume surged during the steep November decline, signalling capitulation-type selling. Since then, volumes have reduced and become more balanced between buyers and sellers. This moderation typically aligns with early consolidation phases, where market participants reassess after a sharp move.

Market structure shifting from aggressive decline to potential base-building

Based solely on visible chart behaviour:

The downtrend remains intact, but its intensity has weakened.
ETH’s rebound from $2,623 indicates the first signs of short-term stabilisation.
A preliminary base may be forming in the $2,600–$3,000 region, though confirmation is absent.
Moving averages still lean bearish and collectively cap the upside.

Ethereum now sits in a transitional zone — between the exhaustion of its downtrend and the early stages of a potential consolidation.

Disclaimer: This article is a neutral technical analysis of publicly visible chart data. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a prediction of future performance.

Bitcoin analysis: BTC climbs to $90,889 as daily chart shows first signs of recovery after steep correction

Brandon Kellworth — Thu, 27 Nov 2025 15:20:15 +0000

Bitcoin rose to $90,889 on 27 November 2025, rebounding after a prolonged downward phase that dominated the market through late October and the first half of November. The 1D chart covering more than four months of price action — from 17 July to 27 November 2025 — shows a complete structural shift: a mid-cycle rally, loss of momentum, a sharp correction to multi-month lows, and early indications of stabilisation.

A mid-year upswing followed by weakening momentum

Between July and mid-October, BTC exhibited a gradual upward trend with several strong bursts of buying interest. However, the rallies repeatedly failed to break the higher resistance zones, signalling momentum fatigue. As moving averages tightened and upward volume weakened, Bitcoin began losing strength, eventually slipping into a clear downward pattern.

Consistent downtrend leads to a sharp fall near $80,600

By early November, Bitcoin firmly entered a lower-high, lower-low formation. Selling intensiﬁed sharply during the final phase of the decline, pushing BTC down to approximately $80,600 — its lowest point in several months. The spike in red volume bars during this drop reflects a period of panic-driven liquidation and strong bearish dominance.

First constructive bounce after weeks of selling

Following the heavy decline, the recent candles indicate that Bitcoin is attempting to stabilise. The price has risen from the $80k zone to above $90,000, with green volume bars showing an increase in dip-buying interest. While this movement does not confirm a trend reversal, it signals that the sharp bearish pressure has eased for now.

Price still faces resistance from key moving averages

Technical structure remains weak on the higher timeframe:

Bitcoin still trades below the MA(25) and well below the MA(99).
These two averages, currently positioned around $95,824 and $108,833, continue to act as heavy dynamic resistance.
The decline below these levels earlier in November marked a decisive shift from neutral to bearish trend conditions.

Any sustained recovery attempt would require BTC to reclaim the 25-day average first, then challenge the long-term 99-day average — both of which remain overhead obstacles.

Volume analysis hints at stabilisation

The sell-off days in early November showed significantly high volume, suggesting capitulation. Since then, volume has moderated, and recent green candles display more balanced participation. This transition typically accompanies a shift from panic selling to attempted consolidation, although more price development is needed before a structural trend change can be identified.

Chart suggests shift from acceleration of decline to early consolidation phase

Based solely on visible chart structure:

The sharp downtrend appears to have lost momentum.
Bitcoin is forming its first meaningful bounce after weeks of pressure.
A potential short-term base may be forming around the $80,000–$85,000 range.
Major moving averages remain overhead and continue to define a cautious technical environment.

BTC is now in a phase where the market is assessing whether the recent rebound is a temporary relief move or the initial stage of a broader consolidation.

Disclaimer: This article is a neutral analysis of chart data for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment guidance or a prediction of future price movement.

BNB price analysis: BNB struggles near $891 as daily chart signals early signs of stabilisation

Brandon Kellworth — Thu, 27 Nov 2025 15:16:37 +0000

BNB continued to hover around $891 on 27 November 2025, gaining modest ground after several weeks of corrective pressure. The daily chart (1D timeframe) covering the period from 20 August 2025 to 27 November 2025 shows a complete trend cycle — an extended rally, a sharp peak, a prolonged pullback, and a recent attempt at forming a base. While the broader trend remains weak, the latest candles suggest that the aggressive selling phase may be slowing as BNB attempts to consolidate.

Uptrend exhaustion and reversal from the yearly high

BNB reached its peak near $1,375, forming an aggressive rally through late September and early October. The uptrend was supported by rising volume and strong momentum, but the surge eventually gave way to selling pressure. The chart clearly shows the shift — a sequence of lower highs and lower lows beginning after the peak, signalling the start of a downtrend that has lasted several weeks.

Sustained downtrend but with weakening bearish momentum

During November, BNB remained below key moving averages — including the 25-day and 99-day MAs — confirming that the broader trend continues to lean bearish. However, the intensity of the fall has reduced. The candles have become shorter, selling volume has tapered, and the price has begun to stabilise rather than continue its earlier steep decline. This indicates bearish momentum slowing, even though no confirmed reversal signal has yet formed.

Possible early bottom formation near the $830–$850 zone

BNB’s price recently found buying interest around the $830–$850 zone, bouncing multiple times from this area. This interaction suggests that the region may be acting as a short-term support. The structure visually resembles the early stages of either a rounded bottom attempt or a base-building phase, although it remains unconfirmed. A stronger pattern would require more candles, higher volume on up-days, and a decisive move above short-term moving averages.

Volume pattern hints at reduced panic and stabilisation

Volume peaked during the sell-off phase in early November but has since tightened significantly. Reduced volume during a consolidation phase can indicate that aggressive sellers are stepping aside. While this does not imply a trend reversal on its own, it supports the idea that the market is attempting to cool off after heavy downside pressure.

Major averages still overhead

BNB remains below both the MA(25) and MA(99), which are currently positioned around $921 and $994 respectively. These averages act as dynamic resistance and typically need to be reclaimed before a sustained recovery trend can form. Until that happens, the chart continues to reflect a recovery attempt within an overall weak structure.

What the current chart suggests

Based solely on visible data:

BNB has moved from a strong uptrend into a multi-week correction.
The downtrend remains intact, but selling pressure has eased.
Price action between $830–$900 resembles a stabilisation band.
Moving averages continue to weigh on the price.
The chart indicates early signs of a potential base, but confirmation is still pending.

BNB’s next directional move will likely depend on how price interacts with the $921 short-term moving average and whether the market can maintain support above the $850 region.

Disclaimer: This article is an analysis of chart data for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment guidance or a prediction of future price movement.